Sunday, January 4, 2015

The SEC West and Perception vs Reality

Projecting an image of strength is a very important defense mechanism in nature. It is why many animals (think cats) will puff up their fur and make themselves big when they sense danger. They are trying to create the illusion that they are dangerous and not to be taken lightly. In reality the creature may be a 10 pound weakling, but how the threat perceives them is more important than the reality. A large bark is often better than a hard bite.

Much like nature, in college football perception matters, often more than reality. There are too many NCAA Division 1 teams for them all to play each other. Instead we have to use like opponents and strength of schedule to try and gage how good teams really are. Talking heads and sports writers guide the public discussion based on their often flawed opinions. The perceived quality of teams is used to schedule bowl game matchups.

The goal of the schedulers is to  create as many classics as possible. They want people to remember their bowls. Think Boise State vs Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl. That game was so intriguing that it added to the cache of the Fiesta Bowl. It helped bolster their brand. However, often these bowl games don't end up so much fun. They often result in blowouts. They expose to the world the reality of a team's strength or weakness. This year the bowl season revealed just how wrong the common perception about the SEC West was.


The whole college football season we had to listen to the sports world go on and on about how great the SEC West was. People joked that the first ever College Football Playoff should be four teams from the SEC West. They appeared to be just that much better than everyone else.

At one point in the season Mississippi State and Ole Miss were having a revival. The state of Mississippi was the center of the college football universe. Dak Prescott was the new Cam Newton. A dual threat quarterback who would propel his team into the national championship. And the defenses of both teams, well they were SEC defenses so by definition they had to be great. An SEC defense could stop any team in the country cold in their tracks. I know I briefly bought into the hype, basically everyone did.

Meanwhile the old guard, Alabama, Auburn, and LSU, started the season off like usual, with a bunch of wins. They played SEC style football. A brand of the game that we were told was much superior to those styles that the teams on the west coast or in the middle of the country were playing.  They dominated teams on defense and ran the ball with authority. Their famous coaches continued to show their genius.

Then, about midway through the season, the cracks started to appear. The perceived powerhouses of Ole Miss, Mississippi State, LSU, Auburn, and Alabama all lost some games. Thing was they only lost to other SEC teams and everybody knows losing to an SEC team is like beating any other power conference team. It is perceived to be like Odin losing to Zeus in an epic immortals showdown.

Alabama escaped from the SEC West regular season in the best shape as far as national polls were concerned. They only lost once and it was to Ole Miss and it was early in the season and a close final score. They appeared set up perfectly for another title run. All the other SEC West teams would just have to settle for dominating some poor whipping boy of a team from another conference in a bowl game.

Then bowl season started and reality struck. In the various bowl games the SEC West teams were forced to actually play against other major conference football teams. The actual quality of the SEC West teams was revealed. The viewing public no longer had to trust the opinions of the sports media. They were able to truly see who was best and the perception that the SEC West was light years ahead of the rest of the country fell apart into a smoldering heap. Teams in the SEC West just weren't that good.



The national media's portrayal of the SEC West was primarily responsible for the perception that they were head and shoulders better than everyone else in the country. They continually perpetuate the myth that the SEC is some kind of super conference. This year they were clearly mistaken in their continued defense of their superiority. Hopefully the experience will bring about some change next year and bring about a bit more balanced analysis.

The SEC is also to blame for this misperception. Their teams refuse to schedule difficult nonconference games. Instead they opt for pushovers and Football Championship Series teams. For example Alabama, the supposed best of the SEC West, played West Virginia, Florida Atlantic, Southern Mississippi, and Western Carolina. Of that group only West Virginia is any kind of threat. By scheduling such a weak nonconference season these teams provide us with no ability to truly judge their talent against the rest of the nation. For 2014 this worked for them, as the conventional wisdom worked in their favor. All seven teams were scheduled for bowl games.

It could also work against them in the future. By losing so soundly in all of their bowl games the SEC West destroyed the perception about them and showed the whole country the true reality of their skill. The narrative surrounding the conference should be much less grand next year. All of the teams should have to work much harder to prove their worth. The bowl games will no longer be a guarantee.

The shattering of the perception of SEC West supremacy is a perfect example of just how different the perception of team, or in this case an entire conference, can be from the actual reality. Much like a small dog picking a fight with a German Shepherd, the SEC West was all bark and no bit.

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